I watch and follow Bundesliga closely so expect all my future tips to be mainly from this league. My first pick (today, Stuttgart 1) was wrong but it was a surprising away win for HSV after many game/defence problems.

24/09/2011 - 15:30 - Borussia Monchengladbach - Nurnberg
Pick: Home win
Coefficient: local bookie > 2,15

From all the matches on Saturday, I chose this one because of the good odd and the belief that the solid defence Borussia showed until now, will continue. Since the change of manager in February, Borussia under new manager Favre, conceded only 12 goals in 18 Bundesliga games. They haven’t conceded more than one in their last 16.

They have won five of their last six home games in the league, one draw. Away at Borussia, Nurnberg won only one of the last eight meetings - two draws & five losses.

Personnel-wise, Nurnberg are missing 1st and 2nd choice goalkeepers and on goal will be 3rd choice - Alexander Stephan who has only 2 Bundesliga matches under his belt. Borussia with no big injury problems. Only 1st choice defender Brouwers is missing, will be replaced by Stranzl.

Good luck!
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Sep 23 aP 22:55-Share-Comment-Like