TranslateFollowing convinced me on PSG:

Monaco will be no match for a PSG side playing their best football in years.

Monaco's decision-makers have given coach Guy Lacombe two games to save his job. My bet is he'll be looking for fresh employment come the New Year. Monaco without their coach, he has been excluded last week against St Etienne

Right now, Monaco are playing the worst football in the division. They've won just one of 13 games since the end of August. They've scored just five goals in their last 11 fixtures....see more

TranslateB sacked their manager. This doens't mean anything. I read a expert's oppinion that WH are a team with too many faint hearts. Also nothing suggests that WH will start performing away from home, B at home turf should be too good for them.

I'm not really convinced on HW, but I will take it anyway with small bet in combo with Arsenal HW to make it worth while.

TranslateHard fact convinced me on a Liverpool win:

Pressure on L's manager RH who needs to win these "easier" or he is out. Gerrard returns for this game and Torres is still a good player up front despite his lack of form. Questions still remain in the rest of the midfield.

Under MH, F have been poor so far. Results indicate that they are suffering a lot from Zamora’s unfortunate injury and lack any quality up front in his absence. They have not won an away league game since August 2009.

Have to keep in mind that RH was in charge of F last season and he will know absolutely everything there is to know about them.

Pick: HW (1,53)...see more

TranslateCopied from bettingadvice.com (user: AL) who convinced me of over 2,5 goals.

Both teams are strong in attack but poor in defence, especially in this game, both of their defence lines facing unbelievable more than disaster missing problem, Gladbach will be without their three best defenders: Dante still couldn`t back from injury, Levels suspended, Brouwers just got injured at last game against Freiburg. Another defender Anderson also injured in that game, they still without Dorda, Janeczek and Jaures (all long-term injuries). Before this game, coach Frontzeck decided to let keeper Bailly back to starting line-up, to replace out of form Heimeroth, but Bailly also injured. Frontzeck only has Daems one defender has Bundesliga level in this game, he will cooperate with totally substandard Schachten, who already made at least four low-class mistakes this season. Frontzeck also force to let two inexperience young boy to start in defence line, midfielder Neustadter will guest center-back, and Wissing will play left-back, both of them only have one time starting in Germany Bundesliga so far, and both played a poor game, but Frontzeck already has no choice anymore.

Hamburg is not much better, they will go on without their defence leader Mathijsen, also Demel, Colin Benjamin, Diekmeier, Marcell Jansen and Stepanek still couldn`t back from injuries, Aogo back to training but still not full fit for this game. Moreover, their spirit leader Ze Roberto has the flu and will definitely miss out. Coach Veh forced to use 18 years old Besic to start in center-back, who only started one game so far, but made hugh mistake and gift three points to Hannover. Also if Aogo fail to pass the final fitness test, totally inexperience youth team boy Gerit Pressel will replace him and debut in left-back.

Bet worth 1,65...see more

TranslateHajduk with many missings, nine I think. Whan Hajduk is in poor form and has nothing to play for, they will lose by a lot.

Could someone give me a tip on how to restrain myself. Why do I make bets that I in advance already know that they are bad. In poker we would call it "going on tils"? A slap in the face?